Scala, NM
(2008)
Decision modeling and applications to major league baseball pitcher substitution.
In: 29th Annual National Conference of the American Society for Engineering Management 2008, ASEM 2008.
Abstract
Relief pitcher substitution is an integral part of a Major League Baseball game as once a pitcher is changed, he cannot reenter the game. The decision to change a pitcher involves many factors and influences, including, but not limited to, the batter's handedness, the state of the game, the pitcher's tiredness, and the pitchers available in the bullpen. This research examines the influences that affect a manager's decision to substitute a pitcher and presents an Analytic Hierarchy Process model to both incorporate these influences and analytically determine the best pitcher substitution, i.e., the best choice of pitcher to face a given batting line-up. The objective of this model as well as its extensions is to help managers make the best pitcher selections and staffing decisions to improve the probability of winning the game. Historical Major League Baseball box scores are used to both demonstrate the model and validate the manager's decisions. This paper represents a somewhat unusual, although interesting and practical example of the use of decision modeling in a non-traditional application, namely Major League Baseball. Copyright © (2008) by the American Society for Engineering Management.
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Details
| Item Type: |
Conference or Workshop Item
(Paper)
|
| Status: |
Published |
| Creators/Authors: |
|
| Date: |
1 December 2008 |
| Date Type: |
Publication |
| Access Restriction: |
No restriction; Release the ETD for access worldwide immediately. |
| Journal or Publication Title: |
29th Annual National Conference of the American Society for Engineering Management 2008, ASEM 2008 |
| Page Range: |
212 - 217 |
| Event Title: |
29th Annual National Conference of the American Society for Engineering Management 2008, ASEM 2008 |
| Event Type: |
Conference |
| Institution: |
University of Pittsburgh |
| Schools and Programs: |
Swanson School of Engineering > Industrial Engineering |
| Refereed: |
Yes |
| Date Deposited: |
07 Aug 2014 17:02 |
| Last Modified: |
24 Sep 2020 20:19 |
| URI: |
http://d-scholarship.pitt.edu/id/eprint/22626 |
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