Haposan, Jonathan
(2019)
Developing a method for characterizing genealogy of parameter values from epidemiological models of infectious disease.
Master Essay, University of Pittsburgh.
This is the latest version of this item.
Abstract
Background: Recently, the number of epidemiological models in infectious disease (EMID) has been remarkably growing. The origin of parameter values used by EMID is often difficult to determine. Models may have used parameter values from populations that do not necessarily correspond to the population being modeled due to the limited existing knowledge about a population of interest. No systematic method has been published that evaluates the “data origin” of EMID parameter values.
Objectives: The primary objective of this study is to improve reproducibility and representativeness of EMID, through developing and testing a method for characterizing the genealogy of parameter values of the models.
Methods: We first developed a method process to characterize the genealogy of parameter values and then applied our method to a set of example models that represented transmission of the dengue virus with dengue vaccination’s introduction.
Results: We characterized the genealogy of EMID parameter values for 2 models using table representations, model diagrams, and genealogical networks. We found that in Notre Dame model 46.5% of parameter values were based on observational data and 27.9% were based on assumptions, while in Imperial model 40.4% were based on observational data and 54.4% were based on assumptions. Respectively, about 25.6% and 5.2% of parameter values from Notre Dame and Imperial models were based on models or formula or derivation from other parameters.
Conclusion: Our method of characterizing genealogy of parameter values from epidemiological models can help better understand the data-origin of models and help researchers evaluate a model’s representativeness.
Public Health Significance: This study used a genealogical approach in epidemiological modeling and public health that would enrich the public health & epidemiology field. This study provides a platform for future researchers in public health to improve the modeling system and outcomes.
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Details
Item Type: |
Other Thesis, Dissertation, or Long Paper
(Master Essay)
|
Status: |
Unpublished |
Creators/Authors: |
|
Contributors: |
Contribution | Contributors Name | Email | Pitt Username | ORCID  |
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Committee Chair | Van Panhuis, Wilbert | wav10@pitt.edu | wav10 | UNSPECIFIED | Committee Member | Peddada, Shyamal D. | sdp47@pitt.edu | sdp47 | UNSPECIFIED | Committee Member | Pyne, Saumyadipta | spyne@pitt.edu | UNSPECIFIED | UNSPECIFIED |
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Centers: |
Other Centers, Institutes, Offices, or Units > Public Health Dynamics Laboratory |
Date: |
26 April 2019 |
Date Type: |
Submission |
Number of Pages: |
56 |
Institution: |
University of Pittsburgh |
Schools and Programs: |
School of Public Health > Epidemiology |
Degree: |
MPH - Master of Public Health |
Thesis Type: |
Master Essay |
Refereed: |
Yes |
Date Deposited: |
04 Oct 2019 22:27 |
Last Modified: |
01 May 2022 05:15 |
URI: |
http://d-scholarship.pitt.edu/id/eprint/36731 |
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Developing a method for characterizing genealogy of parameter values from epidemiological models of infectious disease. (deposited 04 Oct 2019 22:27)
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