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Recurrent Multitask-Learning for Irregular Clinical Time Series Forecasting

Subramanian, Suraj (2020) Recurrent Multitask-Learning for Irregular Clinical Time Series Forecasting. Master's Thesis, University of Pittsburgh. (Unpublished)

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Abstract

Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) is a group of chronic gastrointestinal disorders that are difficult to treat. Having no known cure, treatment courses can be long-term and expensive. IBD flare-ups can happen without warning and there exists no objective criteria to measure the disease's activity. Recently, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) have emerged as a state-of-the-art method in clinical time series analysis; building on recent work that apply RNNs to temporal patient data, this thesis explores methodologies for processing temporal clinical data, the feasibility of a deep RNN classifier to forecast the future healthcare utilization, and techniques to curb overfitting while training on a small dataset. This work shows that multitask learning is helpful to train stable models, and deep networks can be engineered to process small noisy datasets in the clinical domain.


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Details

Item Type: University of Pittsburgh ETD
Status: Unpublished
Creators/Authors:
CreatorsEmailPitt UsernameORCID
Subramanian, Surajsus118@pitt.edusus118
ETD Committee:
TitleMemberEmail AddressPitt UsernameORCID
Thesis AdvisorBabichenko, Dmitriydmitriy.b@pitt.edudmitriy.b
Committee ChairHirtle, Stephenhirtle@pitt.eduhirtle
Committee CoChairBinion, Davidbinion@pitt.edubinion
Date: 5 June 2020
Date Type: Publication
Defense Date: 3 April 2020
Approval Date: 5 June 2020
Submission Date: 14 April 2020
Access Restriction: No restriction; Release the ETD for access worldwide immediately.
Number of Pages: 50
Institution: University of Pittsburgh
Schools and Programs: School of Computing and Information > Information Science
Degree: MS - Master of Science
Thesis Type: Master's Thesis
Refereed: Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords: inflammatory bowel disease, crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, recurrent neural networks, gated recurrent unit, clinical time series, electronic health records, risk stratification
References: 1 Trend of research interest in EHR and DL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 2 ANN Architecture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 3 LSTM Cell . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 4 GRU Cell . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 5 Histogram of annual charges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 6 Baseline Confusion Matrices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 7 GRUD Confusion Matrices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 8 Training and Validation Loss Trend (50 epochs) - OL Data Split . . . . . . . 33 9 Training and Validation Loss Trend (50 epochs) - HO Data Split . . . . . . . 34
Date Deposited: 05 Jun 2020 21:21
Last Modified: 05 Jun 2020 21:21
URI: http://d-scholarship.pitt.edu/id/eprint/38713

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