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Critical Elements Detection in Dynamic Networks Under Uncertainty

Gillen, Colin P. (2019) Critical Elements Detection in Dynamic Networks Under Uncertainty. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Pittsburgh. (Unpublished)

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Abstract

Network cascades represent a number of real-life applications: social influence, wildfires, electrical grid failures, viral spread, and so on. The commonality between these phenomena is that they begin from a set of seed nodes and dynamically spread throughout the network via some time-dependent mechanism. We study this class of problem through the lens of critical elements detection; that is, identifying important nodes/arcs responsible for propagation. Specifically, given a set of seed nodes and the Linear Threshold (LT) model, our initial work determines which arcs (e.g., relationships in a social network) are most critical to influence propagation. We prove NP-hardness of the problem. Time-dependent/time-independent mixed-integer programming (MIP) models are introduced. We develop an MIP-based exact algorithm - rooted in the idea of (information) diffusion expansion - and propose a new centrality measure.
Real-life data typically involve uncertainty; thus, we extend the scope of the above work via the robust critical node fortification problem. Here, the decision-maker fortifies nodes (within a budget) against cascades under uncertain conditions. In particular, the arc weights - how much influence one node has on another - are uncertain but are known to lie in some range. This problem is shown to be NP-hard. We formulate an MIP and improve its continuous relaxation via nonlinearity/convexification. We specify an MIP-based Expand-and-cut exact solution algorithm - the expansion enhanced by cutting planes, themselves tied to the expansion process. These results motivate two novel (inter-related) centrality measures.
One particular application of our work involves wildfire fuel treatment. Wildfires are a natu- rally occurring phenomenon, and, while they perform important ecological functions, the proximity of human activities to forest landscapes requires control/preparedness to mitigate damage. One technique utilized by forest managers is fuel management, where a portion of available combustible material is removed through fuel treatment, such as prescribed burning. We formulate a discrete network optimization model to decide the timing/location of fuel treatments; these decisions es- sentially involve identifying critical nodes in a dynamic cascade network. Our model accounts for fuel levels/growth, prevailing wind direction/strength, fuel moisture, and sustainability considera- tions. A case study is conducted on a particular region of northeastern Texas, a landscape prone to wildfires.


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Details

Item Type: University of Pittsburgh ETD
Status: Unpublished
Creators/Authors:
CreatorsEmailPitt UsernameORCID
Gillen, Colin P.cpg12@pitt.educpg12
ETD Committee:
TitleMemberEmail AddressPitt UsernameORCID
Committee ChairProkopyev, Oleg A.droleg@pitt.edudroleg
Committee MemberRajgopal, Jayantrajgopal@pitt.edurajgopal
Committee MemberMatsypura, Dmytrodmytro.matsypura@gmail.com
Committee MemberGomez, Andresagomez@pitt.eduagomez
Date: 11 September 2019
Date Type: Publication
Defense Date: 20 June 2019
Approval Date: 11 September 2019
Submission Date: 1 July 2019
Access Restriction: 5 year -- Restrict access to University of Pittsburgh for a period of 5 years.
Number of Pages: 150
Institution: University of Pittsburgh
Schools and Programs: Swanson School of Engineering > Industrial Engineering
Degree: PhD - Doctor of Philosophy
Thesis Type: Doctoral Dissertation
Refereed: Yes
Uncontrolled Keywords: Critical Elements Detection Dynamic Networks Mixed-Integer Programming Robust Optimization Wildfire Fuel Management
Date Deposited: 11 Sep 2019 14:32
Last Modified: 11 Sep 2019 14:32
URI: http://d-scholarship.pitt.edu/id/eprint/37023

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